Saturday, January 27, 2024

Predictability Has Benefits

Perhaps most of us grew up hearing that the United States of America was a "melting pot" of cultures with the counterargument that it is (or should be) more like a tossed salad--each member retaining their individual culture, yet living in a common space. While I would like to think that the USA is a place friendly and accepting of differences, it often seems that we must all find a way to "fit in" with societal norms or be "othered." 


With media, it does seem to also be that way. We want to have cultural experiences by going to plays or concerts, but are we expanding beyond what is predictable? And is that necessarily a bad thing if we are not? 

With the chaos of life and the twist and turns it takes that are unpredictable, having media that is predictable can act as a comfort or at least a respite from our daily cares. So with the Frankfurt School's explanation of the culture industry is homogenous--mass culture being identical--and the predictability of knowing the eventual outcome, it may be helpful in allowing us to escape reality for a bit and perhaps set aside our stresses for a couple of hours while being entertained. 

Whenever I need to escape, I generally seek something familiar or "feel good" (probably more accurately, I listen to a lot of morbid podcasts, but sometimes I even need a break from that!). One of my favorite genres of movies are romantic comedies--lots of humor, some romance, a formulaic plot--all easy to follow and relate to. One that I always point to as memorable is The Proposal starring Ryan Reynolds and Sandra Bullock. While the cast is pretty homogenous--mostly all white, affluent, etc.--I think some of those elements could have changed and the enjoyment of the movie would not be altered. An interesting element of the film is that Bullock's character is a Canadian immigrant with an expired visa, and thus a fake relationship between her and Reynold's character is constructed in order for her to keep her position at the top of the company (Reynolds being her assistant in the workplace is another issue we won't discuss here). 




Because we know the typical tropes of romantic comedy storylines, it's easy to predict that Bullock's and Reynolds's characters will eventually end up together despite disliking each other initially and even some conflict interrupting the start of their relationship. While the formula is the same, the specific elements are still unknown which gives us variety in romantic comedies and keeps us coming back for more. We add in humorous family dynamics, quirky side characters, funny one-liners, and while we can predict the outcome, it is still enjoyable to watch the story unfold. 

So yes, just as in the clip of Siskel and Ebert's movie cliches, media does keep portraying the same elements in stories, but I do not think it is all that bad. The predictability provides something in life we can rely on and provides us a mental break from regular, unpredictable life. Despite the ability to mass produce essentially the same main plot points with a different story and different characters, if it gives us some measure of entertainment and enjoyment, is it really that bad? Or is it really a benefit to society that we have something reliable to count on when we need a break? 

Do you think predictability in movies is a benefit? Or would it be more beneficial if movies more closely replicate real life and its ups and downs? 

3 comments:

  1. First, I love The Proposal and will rewatch it as soon as I finish this post. Your question is tricky, mostly because I can see both sides. I find it beneficial to have something reliable when I need a break. This past week, in particular, I have been rewatching some rom-coms myself, like 50 First Dates and How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days, Sweet Home Alabama, Definitely, Maybe, and those movies all end relatively the same way, but I still love them, and it always leaves me feeling warm, fuzzy, and happy no matter how many times I watch them. It's comforting, and it's okay to want predictability regarding movies. When times are difficult, it's nice to turn to something predictable and know that everything will work out just fine, at least for a little bit.
    On the other hand, It can be nice to see a character go through an experience you are experiencing yourself. It provides relatability, a sort of "Oh, it's nice to see this character going through this too, because if they can get through it, then I can too" mentality. It makes people feel less alone.

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  2. I love the points you made. I do think that predictability is a benefit. I think of it in the same aspect as comfort tv shows. Personally I love Gilmore Girls, I have seen it many times. I know everything that happens and in what sequence. For me it is predictable now that I have seen it multiple times. This kind of predictability gives the viewer a sense of control. If you had a hard day at work and just want to decompress sometimes it is nice to have a TV show or movie that you can follow along with, rather than have you on the edge of your seat the whole length.

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  3. I think that as it seems many movies coming out now are remakes and sequels of older movies that were popular, it sometimes feels as though people are running out of ideas and instead just reusing the same plot lines and the same structures. I think that predictability can have both benefits and downfalls. Predictability in movies and shows, I would agree, is absolutely a comfort zone. Whenever I get anxious or stressed out or need a break from things, I like to rewatch movies or shows that I've seen before so that I always know what's going to happen. This limits the surprises and guarantees a feel good outcome because I already know what i'm getting myself into. I think that this also does ring true for many people. On the other hand, sometimes I wonder if the use of the same story structure and predictability is simply out of fear of failure from the people making it. People don't want to release or spend time and money on something that will flop. They want to put something out there that will make back what they spent on it and more, and if you create something "safe" or something you already know works or will sell then the chances of it flopping or losing money become slimmer. I think the negative impact this can have is a halt in idea development and branching out or experimenting in movies and tv, which personally I do think is very important. The predictable movies and plot lines will always be around and I don't think that they themselves are negative, but I do think it could be beneficial to see a push for creativity and see what people could really come up with.

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